TheFrontPageCover
~ Featuring ~
Correcting Overheated Math in
Alarming Ocean-Warmth Studyby Jordan Candler
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The Wrong Time to Cut Defense
by Matthew Continetti
{freebeacon.com} ~ Last month, when the Treasury Department reported that the fiscal year 2018 deficit was a staggering $779 billion, President Trump made an announcement... Before meeting with his cabinet, the president said he would be asking every secretary to trim five percent, "if not more," from his or her budget. Nor would he exempt the department of Defense. Here's hoping Trump changes his mind. Cutting the resources available to the Pentagon is a bad idea. A new report from the bipartisan National Defense Strategy Commission underscores just how bad. "Providing for the Common Defense" is the consensus of a dozen national security experts, including Jack Keane, Senator Jon Kyl, Eric Edelman, Gary Roughead, Michael Morell, Anne Patterson, and Roger Zakheim. These are sober people. Experienced people. They are not given to exaggeration. Yet their conclusions are alarming. "The security and well being of the United States are at greater risk than at any time in decades," they write. "America's military superiority—the hard-power backbone of its global influence and national security—has eroded to a dangerous degree." Great-power competition returned as our military advantage dissipated. "America's ability to defend its allies, its partners, and its own vital interests is increasingly in doubt."...Arizona GOP Announces Independent
Audit of Maricopa County Recorder
by Todd Shepherd
{freebeacon.com} ~ The Arizona Republican Party announced Thursday it will conduct an independent audit of the Maricopa County Recorder's Office... after legal issues and other complaints arose in the days-long count to decide Arizona’s next senator. After Election Day, about 650,000 votes were not yet tallied in counties across Arizona, but the lion's share of those outstanding ballots resided in Maricopa County, the fourth-largest county in the country. The vote count in the race between Martha McSally (R.,) and the eventual winner Kyrsten Sinema (D.,) went on for six more days beyond Election Day, in which time the GOP sued Maricopa County questioning how long the county could "cure" ballots where the signature on the ballot was not a good enough match to the voter's signature on file. In instances such as this, the recorder's office may contact the voter to verify the ballot. However, some recorder’s offices stopped this "curing" process when polls closed at 7 p.m. local time on Election Day, while Maricopa County continued to cure ballots beyond that... https://freebeacon.com/politics/arizona-gop-announces-independent-audit-maricopa-county-recorder/?utm_source=Freedom+Mail&utm_campaign=a483c75ded-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_11_15_10_07_COPY_01&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_b5e6e0e9ea-a483c75ded-45611665hugs Disrupt MEF Congressional Event
{meforum.org} ~ Three hooligans disrupted a Middle East Forum event in the Rayburn House Office Building in Washington, D.C. yesterday hurling expletives and insults... The louts continued to scream for some ten minutes, preventing the event from resuming until the Capitol Police arrived and expelled them. The event, sponsored by Congressman Paul Gosar (Republican of Arizona) in cooperation with MEF, a Philadelphia-based think tank, focused on censorship and “de-platforming.” This is the new trend of ostensibly non-political institutions - social media, Amazon, PayPal, O2, Hyatt Hotels, Norwegian Cruise Lines, Mastercard, among others - to deny service to conservatives or those who publicly discuss Islamism and related topics. Asone participant in the event, UK activist Tommy Robinson, put it, “They are trying to de-platform an event on de-platforming.” Robinson discussed PayPal having closed his account and the major impact this has had on the ability to convey his message. Rep. Paul Gosar opened the event with a warning that, “If you are not able to express your ideas on the common platforms, then you do not have free speech. If you are denied the ability to trade in the common marketplace, then you are not economically free - which is a prerequisite to political freedom.” Raheem Kassam, a UK citizen of Pakistani Muslim ethnic background, told about his being demonetized by YouTube, and the impact this had on his ability to do his work... .
Judge orders White House to return Jim Acosta's press pass
by Eddie ScarrySenator Lindsey Graham Discusses His
Meeting With AAG Matt Whitaker
by sundance
{theconservativetreehouse.com} ~ Senator Lindsey Graham (U-DC) met with Acting Attorney General Matt Whitaker earlier today and pauses to discuss with interested media... Graham confirms Whitaker is intent on allowing the dirty cop-Mueller investigation to come to its natural conclusion. Additionally, Graham discusses a potential for he and Whitaker to work together next year on issues vitally important to the institution. ie. do not expect any ‘spygate’ stuff being discussed at any time over the next several weeks. Additionally today, the Office of Inspector General, Michael Horowitz outlined departmental priorities for the DOJ in 2019. Which leans heavily toward the possibility the next DOJ-IG report will be a white-wash over the FISA abuse. Notably absent from the challenge priorities is any direct interest in eliminating corruption.Correcting Overheated Math in Alarming Ocean-Warmth Studyby Jordan Candler: There was a rare glimpse of camaraderie between researchers on opposite ends of the ideological spectrum following the release of a beleaguered new climate study. That study, broadcast in the journal Nature, asserted that ocean-warming calculations done by the United Nation’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change were too conservative. Alternatively, the researchers contend that sea warmth is 60% higher what the IPCC declares. However, mathematician Nic Lewis discovered a discrepancy shortly after the study went public. Lewis wrote that “a quick review of the first page of the paper was sufficient to raise doubts as to the accuracy of its results.” He went on to reveal, “Just a few hours of analysis and calculations, based only on published information, was sufficient to uncover apparently serious (but surely inadvertent) errors in the underlying calculations.”
The authors, it turns out, acknowledged Lewis’s complaint. The Scripps Institute of Oceanography’s Ralph Keeling, a study partaker, responded, “When we were confronted with his insight it became immediately clear there was an issue there. We’re grateful to have it be pointed out quickly so that we could correct it quickly.” He also stated, “Our error margins are too big now to really weigh in on the precise amount of warming that’s going on in the ocean. We really muffed the error margins.”
While the acknowledgment is refreshing, Lewis remains circumspect. In an email to Reason magazine, he cautions:
In general terms, if [Keeling] is only saying that they acknowledge that their study underestimated the uncertainty in their ocean heat uptake estimate, that is not enough. They should also acknowledge that another consequence of their mishandling of the treatment of uncertainty was that their central estimate of ocean heat uptake was overstated by approximately 30%. … I would hope that Nature will have any changes made by the authors to their assumptions examined carefully by peer reviewers who are experts in the same field as [the authors] as well as by statistically expert peer reviewers. However, the failure of the original peer review and editorial process to pick up the fairly obvious statistical problems in the original paper do not engender confidence in Nature’s approach.
This is an important point. National Center for Atmospheric Research climatologist Gerald Meehl says, “This is how the process works. Every paper that comes out is not bulletproof or infallible. If it doesn’t stand up under scrutiny, you review the findings.” Fair enough. However, Lewis was able to discern the problem in “a few hours of analysis and calculations, based only on published information.” This should create general alarm over other studies whose shaky underpinnings could be recklessly unseen or ignored. Indeed, few agenda-driven researchers are as deferential as Keeling. Either that, or the flaw was hidden in such plain sight that he had no choice but to accept correction. ~The Patriot Post
https://patriotpost.us/articles/59485?mailing_id=3871&utm_medium=email&utm_source=pp.email.3871&utm_campaign=snapshot&utm_content=body
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