Stephen Kazmer
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  • Laguna Niguel, CA
  • United States
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Stephen Kazmer replied to Rudy Tirre's discussion SECURITY CLEARANCE ISN’T A CONSTITUTIONAL RIGHT
"Rudy....why isn't this site being used 24-7-365 during an election cycle like in 2016. this election is critical and needs to be won bt US not the Dems. AMERICA AND PATRIOTIC AMERICANS----DO NOT BE BLIND TO WHAT THE LOONY LEFT IS TRYING TO DO…"
9 hours ago
Stephen Kazmer replied to Rudy Tirre's discussion SECURITY CLEARANCE ISN’T A CONSTITUTIONAL RIGHT
"7 November 1917, The Bolshevik Revolution --- an army of leftist revoultionaries lead by Vlad Lenin  {JUST THE SAME AS ANTIFA  OF TODAY ] the NOW CONDITION! The Democrat party of THE NOW  CONDITION. THEY ARE the…"
Friday
Stephen Kazmer replied to Rudy Tirre's discussion SECURITY CLEARANCE ISN’T A CONSTITUTIONAL RIGHT
"IS This really what we want in America running the show???? Cncervatives and Republicans you had better stick together and vote Republican. OR YOU WILL GET----- Maxine Waters, ANTIFA, Progressive politics, THE DEMOCRAT ILLEGAL IMIGRANT MOBS PACKED…"
Thursday
Stephen Kazmer replied to Rudy Tirre's discussion SECURITY CLEARANCE ISN’T A CONSTITUTIONAL RIGHT
"IN THE NEWS TODAY 9/30/18. Just who the hell is even listening to Comey who lost all credability as Head of the FBI and who is listening to this liar when he makes statements on Kavanaugh. Comey belongs in Prison!"
Sep 30
Stephen Kazmer replied to Rudy Tirre's discussion SECURITY CLEARANCE ISN’T A CONSTITUTIONAL RIGHT
"Arizona Congressman Gosar has a Family that is Sick at heart for what America really means. one of Gosar's Sisters makes a CNN Statement: That Congressman Gosar says : George Soros IS a NAZZI sympathiser:TRUTH IS YES GEO. SOROS AIDED…"
Sep 23
Stephen Kazmer replied to Rudy Tirre's discussion SECURITY CLEARANCE ISN’T A CONSTITUTIONAL RIGHT
"HERE YOU GOCol Nelson, Rudy Tirre, AND EVERYONE ELSE  on Tea Party Sites... READ IT! The #WalkAway campaign has been growing in size and strength for most of the summer as liberals are beginning to realize that the beliefs of today’s…"
Sep 19
Stephen Kazmer replied to Rudy Tirre's discussion SECURITY CLEARANCE ISN’T A CONSTITUTIONAL RIGHT
Sep 17
Stephen Kazmer replied to Rudy Tirre's discussion SECURITY CLEARANCE ISN’T A CONSTITUTIONAL RIGHT
"Lying Kamila Harris, Resorts to lying to try and get Kavinaugh to say he sopke to trump about Mueller Cory Booker is likewise a scum bag to pull what he did and should be removed from the Senate. Those 2 are what what Hillary called DEPLORABLES. It…"
Sep 7
Stephen Kazmer replied to Rudy Tirre's discussion SECURITY CLEARANCE ISN’T A CONSTITUTIONAL RIGHT
"Jeff Sessions days are numbered!!! ON THAT YOU CAN BELIEVE. To recuse yourself after the appointment is a disgusting STUNT!"
Aug 27
Stephen Kazmer replied to Rudy Tirre's discussion SECURITY CLEARANCE ISN’T A CONSTITUTIONAL RIGHT
"I loudly applaud those in the #WalkAway movement congradulations----you see what is wrong in America lets fix it! Its telling that such a movement NOW is exposing what has been the true norm in the Demo party since Jimmy Carter, then raised up to…"
Aug 26
Stephen Kazmer replied to Rudy Tirre's discussion SECURITY CLEARANCE ISN’T A CONSTITUTIONAL RIGHT
"Obama looks like he took GOLF LESSONS from Charles Barkley. He should never have had a news camera man expose his swing to the public on TV.  It looks like LaMont Sanfords, Aunt Ester, First thing in the morning on a BAD DAY!"
Aug 26
Stephen Kazmer replied to Rudy Tirre's discussion SECURITY CLEARANCE ISN’T A CONSTITUTIONAL RIGHT
"Obama resting up for an afternoon round of Golf...If thats what you can call what he does on a golfcourse!"
Aug 25
Stephen Kazmer replied to Rudy Tirre's discussion SECURITY CLEARANCE ISN’T A CONSTITUTIONAL RIGHT
"Brennan has no say! SHUT UP AND SIT DOWN JONNY BOY---THE LIAR! ON Another NOTE: Facebooks #WaklAway is big in the news-----PAY ATTENTION TO THIS-- DEMOCRATS ARE REALIZING WHAT A FARCE THE DEMOCRAT PARTY REALLY IS! Nearly every of the 176,000 +/-…"
Aug 24
Stephen Kazmer replied to Steve - Ning Creator's discussion What Should We Do If Liberals Assassinate Trump?
"There's a whole SLU of Liberal Morons walking around Free. They screwed AMERICA for 8 YEARS.... people,-- And they are walking around SCOTT FREE. OBAMA, HILLARY, BRENNAN, CLAPPER, COMEY, HARRY REID, NANCY PELOSI, LORETTA LYNCH, Susan…"
Aug 4
Stephen Kazmer replied to Steve - Ning Creator's discussion What Should We Do If Liberals Assassinate Trump?
"This is something to really contemplate, TRUMP being assassinated. The loony left is just deranged enough to pull this stunt. If I were Deep States Puppet Master Barack Obama I would assume I'M next....and he is likely 100% CORRECT, followed by…"
Aug 4
Stephen Kazmer replied to Kat's discussion FBI partners with left-leaning Southern Poverty Law Center on hate-crimes
"https://youtu.be/8pNlmbXnln4 People GET IT TOGETHER EVERY REPUBLICAN SHOULD GET A BIT FRIGHTENED THAT AMERICA IS HEADDED HERE IF WE DONOT WIN IN NOVEMBER AND IN 2020, Ralley ralley quick and sustain it till 2020 and beyond.  TRY LIVING IN…"
Jul 31

Profile Information

Do you agree to disagree without being disagreeable?
Yes
How did you hear about TeaParty.org?
Link on Face Book
Is President Trump keeping his campaign promises?
YES! He should never have been president. He's not an American citizen and he does not respect the constitution of this great exceptional country.

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At 10:22am on June 13, 2014, Wayne Wilson said…
At 8:57pm on February 1, 2013, Thomas Schuckman said…

Steven,  We are both on the same page, as I am a serious Bible student...KJV, etc.  Have  you ever read my humble Christian based Blog:  TOM'S JOURNAL??

At 4:59pm on August 10, 2012, Ralph E WallSr said…

Hi Stephen,

patriotic welcome

WE ARE GLAD YOU HAVE JOINED US IN OUR FIGHT TO TAKE BACK AMERICA

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LIGHTER SIDE

 

Political Cartoons by AF Branco

Political Cartoons by Tom Stiglich

ALERT ALERT

 Will  Tea Party Hand The Liberals Their Ass On Election Day? 

It was this week two years ago that Hillary Clinton’s victory looked assured, when the infamous “Access Hollywood” tape of Donald Trump bragging about sexual assault appeared all but certain to end his campaign.

Jesse Ferguson remembers it well. The deputy press secretary for Clinton’s campaign also remembers what happened a month later.

It’s why this veteran Democratic operative can’t shake the feeling that, as promising as the next election looks for his party, it might still all turn out wrong.

“Election Day will either prove to me I have PTSD or show I’ve been living déjà vu,” Ferguson said. “I just don’t know which yet.”

Ferguson is one of many Democrats who felt the string of unexpected defeat in 2016 and are now closely — and nervously — watching the current election near its end, wondering if history will repeat itself. This year, instead of trying to win the presidency, Democrats have placed an onus on trying to gain 23 House seats and win a majority.

The anxiety isn’t universal, with many party leaders professing confidently and repeatedly that this year really is different.

But even some of them acknowledge the similarities between the current and previous election: Trump is unpopular and beset by scandal, Democrats hold leads in the polls, and some Republicans are openly pessimistic.

FiveThirtyEight gives Democrats a 76.9 percent chance of winning the House one month before Election Day. Their odds for Clinton’s victory two years ago? 71.4 percent.

The abundance of optimism brings back queasy memories for Jesse Lehrich, who worked on the Clinton campaign and remembers watching the returns come in from the Javits Center in New York.

“I was getting texts after the result was clear – including even from some political reporters and operatives – texting me, you know, ‘Are you guys starting to get nervous?’ or ‘What’s her most likely path?’” he said. “I was like, ‘What do you mean, starting to get nervous? What path? They just called Wisconsin. We lost.’”

“People were so slow to process that reality because they just hadn’t considered the possibility that Donald Trump was going to be the next president,” he continued.

Lehrich said he sees similarities between 2016 and 2018. But he said he thought Democrats were cognizant of the parallels and determined not to let up a month before the election, as many voters might have two years ago.

Other Democratic leaders aren’t so sure. Asked if he thought his party was overconfident, Democratic Rep. Seth Moulton responded flatly, “Yes.”

Democrats could win a lot of House seats, he said, or could still fall short of capturing a majority.

“The point is that we’ve got to realize that this not just some unstoppable blue wave but rather a lot of tough races that will be hard-fought victories,” Moulton said.

If Democrats are universally nervous about anything after 2016, it’s polling. The polls weren’t actually as favorable to Clinton and the Democrats as some remember, something 538’s Nate Silver and some other journalists pointed out at the time.

But Clinton’s decision not to campaign in a state she’d lose, Wisconsin, and the failure of pollsters everywhere to miss a wave of Trump supporters in red areas are mistakes Democrats are still grappling with today.

“Clearly last cycle, polling was off,” Ben Ray Lujan, chairman of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, told reporters last month. “There were a lot of predictions that were made last cycle that didn’t come to fruition.”

Lujan emphasized in particular how pollsters missed the rural vote, calling it a “devastating mistake.” He said the DCCC has taken deliberate steps since 2016 to get it right this time around, but underscored a congressional majority still required a tooth-and-nail fight.

“So I’m confident with the team that’s been assembled, but I’m definitely cognizant of the fact we need to understand these models and understand the data for what it is,” he said.

One Democratic pollster said the data he’s seen makes plain that the party is favored to win a majority — but that it’s still not a sure thing. He said even now it’s unclear if the political environment will create an electoral tsunami, or merely a good year where Democrats might still fall short of a House majority.

“We’ve all learned a lesson from 2016 that there are multiple possibilities and outcomes,” said the pollster, granted anonymity to discuss polling data one month before the election. “And if you haven’t learned that lesson, shame on you. That 20 percent outcome can happen. That 30 percent outcome can happen.”

This year, Democrats have history on their side: The incumbent president’s party historically struggles during midterm elections. That wasn’t the case in 2016, when Democrats were trying to win the presidency for three consecutive terms for the first time in their history since Franklin Delano Roosevelt (The GOP accomplished the feat only once in the same period, with Ronald Reagan and George H.W. Bush.)

Some Democratic leaders say the reality of Trump’s presidency — unlike its hypothetical state in 2016 — changes the dynamic entirely.

“Democratic energy is at nuclear levels,” said Steve Israel, a former DCCC chairman. “Democrats would crawl over broken glass to vote in this election.”

Israel said he still has concerns about November (political operatives always have concerns about the upcoming election). But he waves away the notion that the party might fall short of a House majority.

“Most Democrats and a heck of a lot of Republicans I speak to believe that Democrats will have the majority,” he said. “The real question is, by how much?”

Ferguson is, of course, of two minds: He thinks the push to repeal the Affordable Care Act and the day-to-day reality of Trump’s presidency fundamentally changes how voters will see this election.

But he’s also gun-shy about what could change in the next month, after the multitude of surprises that occurred during the last month of the 2016 race, whether the “Access Hollywood” recording or then-FBI Director James Comey’s announcement that the investigation into Clinton’s emails was re-opened.

Many Republicans argue the 2018 election has already seen its October surprise, with the confirmation fight over Brett Kavanaugh finally motivating conservative voters to vote.

“I don’t know what the October surprises will be,” Ferguson said. “But we make a mistake if we assume that what we’re seeing today is what we’ll see for the entire month. We lived through it two years ago.”

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