The Plan to Retake the Senate in 2014 takes Shape...Obamacare!

Obamacare — which now has landed as the issue on which national politics almost is sure to hinge in the upcoming political cycle. If indeed Obamacare degrades health care (and makes it more expensive and an even bigger hassle) it will prove more of a political liability than an asset. What does the political battlefield look like?

As ace political analysts, Larry Sabato and Kyle Kondik observed on March 18th in the Wall Street Journal:

[T]he Obama White House wants to achieve something no other president has ever done: Retake full control of Congress in a midterm.


The party of an incumbent president traditionally loses seats in midterm elections. The usual strategy is simply to minimize the damage. Yet Mr. Obama and many Democrats are so buoyed by national polls and the buzz from the November election that they sense a chance to make history by holding their 10-seat Senate majority … and picking up the needed 17 House seats. That would clear the way for Democratic legislative aims.

A few factors work in the Democrats’ favor.

A grand sweep will be harder than Democrats think, though. Electoral history and the nature of the 2014 races indicate that Democrats actually stand a greater chance of losing the Senate than they do of winning the House.

Since the start of the modern two-party system in the mid-19th century, the party of an incumbent president has never captured control of the House from the other party in a midterm election.


On March 27th the National Journal’s Chris Frates reveals in "The Secret Republican Plan to Repeal ‘Obamacare’: And why the fight is far from over" the GOP strategy to bring about its resurgence as “King of the Hill,” holding the House and taking a Senate majority: repealing Obamacare.

Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell — a political grandmaster, sometimes underestimated — reported that the Senate GOP was prepared, if they had won the majority, to “take this [Obamacare] monstrosity down.” The Democratic majority, bolstered by the typical presidential year turnout surge, held solid in 2012.

“Monstrosity” is not an unfair description. Frates:

During the legislative debate over the law, Democrats promised Obamacare would create jobs, lower health care costs, and allow people to keep their current plans if they chose to. Those vows, Republicans argue, are already being broken.


The Congressional Budget Office, the Hill’s nonpartisan scorekeeper, estimated that the health care law would reduce employment by about 800,000 workers and result in about 7 million people losing their employer-sponsored health care over a decade. The CBO also estimated that Obamacare during that period would raise health care spending by roughly $580 billion.


A takedown of Obama’s signature legislative achievement is not GOP partisanship, pettiness or obstructionism (although the left-leaning media will portray it that way). Crushing 800,000 jobs and forcing 7 million people out of their health insurance is a bitter fruit indeed. Obamacare was designed sloppily at best. For those almost million people whom it will cause to lose gainful employment, or the 7 million who will lose their employer-provided health insurance, indeed it is monstrous. FDR would have been appalled.

What are the political implications?

Republicans will need to win half a dozen seats to retake the chamber. So, what are the chances?


“There are six really good opportunities in really red states: West Virginia, North Carolina, Louisiana, Arkansas, South Dakota, and Alaska,” McConnell said last week. “And some other places where you have open seats like Michigan and Iowa. And other states that frequently vote Republican, an example of that would be New Hampshire. So, we’re hopeful.”


What are the policy implications?

Two decades ago, this columnist, browsing in a Washington bookshop, happened upon the greatest supply side columnist who ever lived, Warren Brookes. Brookes shared an indelible insight. He observed that it was possible to provide good health care at an affordable cost through the free market, rationing it by price. And it was possible to provide good health care at an affordable cost by the government through state agencies, rationing it by thoughtful policy. And that America had managed to create a monstrous hybrid of the two, the worst possible system: lousy care at unaffordable prices.

The Obamacare “monstrosity” is the apotheosis of what Brookes noted. Americans deserve better.

The National Journal concludes the most politically salient column of 2013 to date by saying that “McConnell [is] a brilliant defensive coordinator who will have to play flawless offense if he hopes to take control of the Senate next year.” Yes, he does. Likely, he will.

The chickens of Obamacare are coming home to roost. There are some mighty ugly chickens in the flock. Given the uglier side of Obamacare now becoming visible, the historical trends, and McConnell’s strategic political savvy President Obama should be bracing himself to receive the political shellacking of a lifetime come November 2014.

Great input from Ralph Benko

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It bothers me that we "The Tea Party" are suffering in the Polls. We have to get out messaging the MSM. I feel we are not working hard enough in our communities and are playing to lose in 2014.  We have to work harder, tell everyone about the real Obama agenda and force the low info folk to see whats happening under right their nose. I hope the Obamacare swindle will hit enough people in their pocketbook by 14 to give us the chance to swing the low interest guys to get out.

I also want every single Evangelist, Paulite and GOP voter to stop bickering over small issues and see ther big picture. If we retake the Senate in 14 we can impeach, dismantle the EO's and stop the damage this incredibly incompetent lier has done over the last 5 years.

GUYS ITS NOW DOWN TO YOU!

 

Wholeheartedly agree. The tea party needs to start now to begin the process of getting the senate back and keeping the house. The republican party needs to stop bickering and come together as one voice. They need to set the agenda and as one focus and hammer those ideals and values home to the public . its time to stop being defensive and go on offense . I am tired of conservative s allows having to explain its time liberals start explaining why their policies have failed and we must hold them accountable.

I agree with you Gregg, however, with all of the Rinos we have in Congress, there is no concerted effort to expand beyond the status quo.  Arizona will lose it's own Rino (Thanks be to God) as the fool is "retiring" before he gets shoved out the door by his constituents.  You can hope until Jesus comes again, but that will not do anything to stop stupid people from putting the lefts agenda before logic.

It is going to take a massive effort on the Tea to push a common sense agenda to those that are on the edge and make the GOP get off their cumulative butts and out of the back of the library room to see the light of the Tea Agenda.  The Tea Party cannot do it alone and must join with the GOP to make this happen.

We must hold the line on immigration... Really Secure the borders...FIRST, then cure the immigration problem with the GOP Stamp, so that the immigrants know from whence it came.

Gregg very well stated! If you would add the specifics of the action you propose it would provide people who are uncertain of how to accomplish the action part with the education and knowledge they need to undertake and succeed with the action part.

We will be up the creek with no paddle if they do take over the House seats and control the Congress.. They will push "FORWARD" with their agendas with no regard for spending us into oblivion...Hopefully that won't happen.

We need to do a better job of controlling Voter Fraud! The SEIU has a big grip on voting machines as seen in Nevada!

Agreed voter Fraud is a major issue that no one has addressed to date. there is no reason to believe things will be any different in 2014 than 2012 if that problem isn't resolved. we need control of both senate and the house to shut Obama and Eric Holder down. Other wise it will be a repeat of Obama's first term with uncontrolled spending by Obama and the democrats. I have no doughs that the democrats have entered into an unholy agreement with Obama on his spending problem. Since they became partners in the crime, then they have no choice but to defend Obama in order to cover their own asses.

Get involved with Truethevote.

We would also need a BIG push for TORT reform!

Voter fraud.

Stop it and problem solved.

What is the plan for voter fraud?

I'm praying for clear direction.

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ALERT ALERT

Rudy Fires Warning Shot – Going to Release Evidence on the Biden’s Millions in Corrupt Deeds!

President Trump’s personal attorney and former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani dropped a bomb this morning warning that he is going to start revealing documents related to the Biden Family’s corrupt and criminal dealings in the Ukraine and elsewhere around the world.

Rudy tweeted:

Everything I tried to tell the press last March is now coming out, and more. I will now start to reveal the evidence directly to you, the People. The Biden Family Enterprise made millions by selling public office. Then when Joe was Obama’s Point Man, they ALL made millions.

Rudy Giuliani    @RudyGiuliani
 

Everything I tried to tell the press last March is now coming out, and more. I will now start to reveal the evidence directly to you, the People. The Biden Family Enterprise made millions by selling public office. Then when Joe was Obama’s Point Man, they ALL made millions.

It’s time to take these criminals from the Obama Administration to task.  The Bidens, Obamas and the Clintons were criminal enterprises.

Trump Speaks At March For Life Rally

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